Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.661791 8.457629 9.323193 10.338291 11.500920 12.796567 14.357538
2026-01-04 6.660899 7.731181 8.974466 10.539156 12.475211 14.818089 17.907873
2026-01-11 5.854909 7.018556 8.429545 10.291136 12.720307 15.836820 20.229099
2026-01-18 5.469783 6.738861 8.335289 10.530231 13.533549 17.598099 23.695740
2026-01-25 5.007757 6.301142 7.975249 10.353187 13.733394 18.513038 26.070543
2026-02-01 4.643488 5.950698 7.685412 10.221526 13.952342 19.443717 28.564419
2026-02-08 4.323955 5.629826 7.400852 10.056797 14.085620 20.235952 30.928323
2026-02-15 4.034148 5.325626 7.110812 9.849004 14.118373 20.855757 33.074976
2026-02-22 3.824795 5.117566 6.938095 9.793251 14.368793 21.835774 35.981806
2026-03-01 3.560896 4.813936 6.604033 9.460462 14.137876 21.977890 37.364642
2026-03-08 3.287237 4.480448 6.204617 8.994163 13.642167 21.604254 37.692837
2026-03-15 3.115676 4.287242 6.002845 8.824070 13.622781 22.060060 39.723169
2026-03-22 3.176562 4.447492 6.354555 9.586422 15.299899 25.855828 49.528451
2026-03-29 3.094556 4.385851 6.357191 9.770661 15.976442 27.869023 55.966014
2026-04-05 2.930761 4.188415 6.131215 9.545609 15.875334 28.322741 58.854301
2026-04-12 2.872029 4.151309 6.159727 9.762490 16.625288 30.621512 66.853894
2026-04-19 2.742805 3.995420 5.983935 9.601911 16.625679 31.324072 70.883589
2026-04-26 2.631002 3.861876 5.837358 9.482445 16.694153 32.183365 75.568809
2026-05-03 2.521567 3.726953 5.680894 9.332912 16.685775 32.865791 79.933877
2026-05-10 2.412518 3.587799 5.509937 9.144190 16.577683 33.300612 83.681519
2026-05-17 2.334351 3.496115 5.415622 9.093536 16.755605 34.445714 90.013434
2026-05-24 2.218775 3.337479 5.197512 8.791011 16.363392 34.134158 91.463644
2026-05-31 2.089538 3.151551 4.924236 8.366624 15.672634 32.995008 89.830604